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System simulation overview

How to set up and compare the Current state and scenarios in the system simulation, and how solar yield, consumption and battery are calculated in time steps from 1 hour down to 1 minute.

Written by Admin

In the system simulation you model a building's current state and compare it with one or more planned variants.

You can combine all components of an energy system: solar system, battery storage, household, heating system (e.g. heat pump, gas or oil), wallbox / EV and air conditioning.

For every variant, autarc simulates a full year – hourly by default, or in 30-, 15- or 1-minute steps if you prefer – and works out how much solar power is generated, used directly, stored, fed into the grid or drawn from it, and how much electricity the heat pump, wallbox and other consumers need.

That year is then projected over the whole analysis period – 20 years by default, or the period you have set – including energy price increases and recurring costs.
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This gives you the self-consumption rate, self-sufficiency, costs and the profitability shown in your offer.

Current and scenarios

The simulation is split into tabs:

  • Current: the building as it is today. Every project has exactly one Current tab. It always sits at the top left and cannot be deleted or renamed.

  • Scenarios: your planned variants, e.g. “Solar with battery” or “Solar + heat pump + wallbox”. Use New simulation to add more scenarios. A new scenario starts with the values from Current.

  • Old solar system in Current (modelled by its key figures) – a new solar system in a scenario.

Switching components on and off

In every tab you'll find the system's components on the right – e.g. Solar System, Battery storage, Household, Heating system, Wallbox / EV and Air conditioning. Use the toggle to add a component to that tab or remove it. Click the arrow in front of a component, or the component itself, to expand its details.

What matters is which tab a component is switched on in:

  • In the Current tab: the building already has the component – e.g. an existing wallbox or solar system. It causes no investment and is already included in today's costs. Changes in Current overwrite the project data (note values are applied globally across the project).

  • In a scenario: the component is part of the planned variant. Anything not already in Current counts as new – with investment, pricing model and savings compared with Current. If a component is switched on in both, the difference is simulated – e.g. a changed wallbox or a new version of the solar system.

You can also simulate differences without adding new components – e.g. a different household consumption, a different Usage pattern, or switching between a dynamic and a non-dynamic electricity tariff. Such changes only apply to that scenario; Current, other scenarios and the project stay unchanged.

Examples:

  • Existing heat pump without solar in Current – the same heat pump with a new solar system in the scenario.

  • Gas heating in Current – bivalent heat pump in the scenario: the existing gas boiler stays on as Backup heating, but with a new consumption.

Linking plannings to components

The solar system and the wallbox can each be linked to their own planning variant in every tab. You'll find the selection at the top of the expanded component:

  • Solar System: under Solar planning, choose which solar planning this tab is based on.

  • Wallbox / EV: under Wallbox planning, choose the matching wallbox planning.

Click Solar planning or Wallbox planning to jump straight to the linked planning.

Heating system and Air conditioning use the project's heating and AC planning. Heating planner (in scenarios with the type Heat pump) and AC planner take you straight there.

Comparing scenarios

Every scenario is compared with Current by default. Use Compare with: at the top right to pick another scenario instead – e.g. “Scenario 1” against “Scenario 2”. Charts and KPIs then show both variants side by side, including the percentage change.

The Current tab has no comparison: it only shows the energy flow and current costs. Profitability and return on investment (ROI) are only shown in scenarios.

Setting the simulation resolution

You can choose Hourly, 30 minutes, 15 minutes or 1 minute resolution, meaning the simulation will calculate values for each step for one year.

For a project

  1. Open the simulation in the project.

  2. Select the Current tab and open Settings.

  3. Under Simulation resolution, choose the value you want.

The resolution applies to Current and all scenarios in the project so they stay comparable. In a scenario it is only displayed (Set in the Current tab). Click the pencil icon to go straight back to the Current tab.

Default values for new simulations

Set values you use for almost every project once, centrally:

  1. Go to Settings > Products > Simulation Settings.

  2. Under Default values for new projects, enter your values:

    • Feed-in tariff (per kWh)

    • Energy price increase per year (%)

    • Fossil fuel price increase per year (%)

    • Simulation resolution

  3. Save the settings.

These values are applied to every new simulation and can be adjusted per project – the simulation resolution in the Current tab, the other values in the respective simulation. Existing simulations stay unchanged.

Custom load profiles

Instead of a standard profile you can use your own load profile for any consumer – either uploaded from measured data or drawn yourself.

Uploading a known load profile

If you have measured consumption data (e.g. from the grid operator or a smart meter), you can use it instead of a standard profile:

  1. In Electricity usage, under Usage pattern, choose Custom load profile.

  2. Click Upload custom load profile and drop your file (CSV, XLSX or XLS). The file needs two columns (timestamp and value) for a full year – hourly, 30, 15 or 1 minute, in kW or kWh. The file's resolution is detected automatically.

  3. If the file is finer than the simulation, autarc suggests switching the simulation. Click e.g. Switch to 15 minutes so the finer values are used rather than averaged. Click Undo to keep the current resolution.

  4. Under Yearly consumption, choose whether to use the file's total or scale it to the annual consumption you entered.

  5. Click Apply profile.

No file to hand? Under Templates: you'll find template for any resolution. Download and paste your values into the file and upload it.

Drawing your own load profile

Without measured data you can also create a profile yourself – e.g. for a wallbox that only charges at night, or an unusual household behaviour.

  1. In Electricity usage, under Usage pattern, choose Custom load profile.

  2. Click Draw your own.

  3. Under Build your own load profile, set how the daily demand is spread over the hours – for weekdays and for Weekends & holidays.

  4. Click Apply profile.

The drawn curve is scaled to the annual consumption you entered.

Custom consumers and producers

Besides the fixed components you can add your own consumers and producers with their own load profile – e.g. a pool pump, a sauna, a production line, or other generators such as a wind turbine or a generator.

  1. Click Add consumer/producer.

  2. Under Type, choose Consumer or Producer and set Name and Color.

  3. Enter the Annual total (kWh) or, for a producer, the Annual production (kWh).

  4. Set the load profile: Draw your own or Upload a file.

Like the fixed components, a custom consumer or producer in the Current tab counts as already existing – so an existing wind turbine already lowers today's costs. For a producer, Include in KPIs decides whether its generation counts towards self-sufficiency and the self-consumption rate, or whether only the solar system is shown.

How can I see the results in detail?

In the Energy flow section you can switch the period between Year, Month and Day. At a resolution of 1 minute, Hour is also available. Use the arrows < / > or the date picker to move through the year.

This lets you see, for example on a summer day, how the battery charges at midday and supplies the household in the evening.

In the Energy flow section you can switch between the views Flow, Bar, Sankey and Table. What each chart shows is explained in Energy Flows.

How does the calculation work?

The same calculation runs for Current and every scenario – each with the components switched on in that tab:

  1. Solar yield per time step: the yield of the linked solar planning is calculated from PVGIS weather data – depending on location, orientation, tilt and shading of the modules. More in How is the PV yield calculated?

  2. Consumption per time step: every consumer gets a standard load profile (see below) – or a custom profile you draw or upload. The profiles distinguish weekdays, Saturdays, and Sundays and public holidays, and are scaled to the annual consumption you entered: the distribution over the year changes, the annual total stays exactly your value.

    • Household: BDEW standard load profile H25 (2025), adjusted to the selected Usage pattern.

    • Heat pump: profile from measured data of 82 real heat pumps – with high consumption in winter.

    • Wallbox / EV: profile from measured data of real home charging sessions – with a clear evening peak.

    • Air conditioning: its own profile matching the cooling season.

  3. Conversion to the simulation resolution: all consumption and production data is converted to the selected Simulation resolution. Coarser data (e.g. hourly values in a 15-minute simulation) is spread evenly across the finer steps. Finer data (e.g. a 1-minute load profile in an hourly simulation) is aggregated.

  4. Energy flow per time step: capacity, charge/discharge power and efficiency of the battery come from the product data of the selected battery (Energy flows with battery storage). In every time step this order applies:

    • Solar power first covers simultaneous consumption. If it isn't enough for everyone, it is shared proportionally between household, heat pump and wallbox.

    • Any surplus charges the battery – limited by capacity and charging power.

    • Whatever is left is fed into the grid.

    • If solar power falls short, the battery discharges for household and heat pump. The grid supplies the rest.


    How the battery charges is set in the Battery storage component under Control scheme – Maximise self-consumption (default) or Tariff arbitrage (additional grid charging in cheap tariff hours).

  5. KPIs, costs and comparison: the sum of all time steps gives direct use, battery use, feed-in, grid consumption, self-consumption rate and self-sufficiency. Time-of-use tariffs (e.g. peak/off-peak) are assigned precisely to every time step. The scenario's costs are set against those of the comparison variant – giving savings, payback and return on investment (ROI).

Frequently asked questions

I already have a solar system, wallbox or heat pump. How do I model it?

Switch the component on in the Current tab.

For an existing solar system, choose the matching planning in the Solar System component under Solar planning.

For an existing heat pump, set the Heating system type to Heat pump – with an optional Heat pump model, annual consumption, tariff and, if you like, your own load profile.

For an existing wallbox, choose the matching planning in the Wallbox / EV component under Wallbox planning.

For existing air conditioning, switch on the Air conditioning component and enter its annual consumption – or open the AC planner to base it on the project's AC planning.

Also switch the component on in the scenarios where it keeps running – it counts there as existing, not as a new investment.

Why doesn't the Current tab show profitability?

Profitability, payback and ROI only arise from comparing a planned variant with Current. The Current tab therefore only shows the energy flow and current costs. Switch to a scenario to see the economics.

What happens when I change values in Current?

Changes in the Current tab overwrite the project data (note Values are applied globally) – e.g. the household consumption, or the current heating system type and consumption which is also used elsewhere in the project. Values changed in a scenario are not affected.

How do I rename or delete a scenario?

Via the … menu on the scenario's tab, where you'll also find Delete simulation. The Current tab can be neither renamed nor deleted.

Which resolution should I choose?

For most single-family homes, Hourly is the right choice: standard profiles and weather data are hourly, so a finer resolution gives the same results.

A finer resolution pays off when you have measured data in 30-, 15- or 1-minute values – e.g. for commercial and industrial customers, or in markets billed in 30-minute intervals. Short load peaks that would disappear in an hourly value become visible.

Note that the calculation can take longer at finer resolutions (1 minute = 525,600 time steps per year).

Which usage patterns are available for the household?

Standard, Home Office, Mainly morning, Mainly evening, Winter peak, Summer peak and Custom load profile. The variants shift consumption within the day or the year – the annual consumption always stays the same.

Which year is simulated?

The simulation uses a reference year of 365 days (no leap day) in standard time, i.e. without daylight saving time. Public holidays are treated like Sundays.

Does the battery supply the wallbox?

With the control scheme Maximise self-consumption, the battery only supplies household and heat pump. The wallbox gets solar power directly and otherwise grid power. With the control scheme Tariff arbitrage you can enable Battery may supply wallbox.

What isn't taken into account (yet)?

Dynamic spot-market electricity prices, feed-in limits or curtailment, blocking periods, and feeding battery power into the grid are not simulated at the moment. The battery only charges from the grid with the control scheme Tariff arbitrage.

Please get in touch if you have requests or feedback.

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